I
TOLD
YOU
SO!!!!
ZOBGY CALLS THE ELECTION FOR JOHN F. KERRY.
ELECTORAL MANDATE FOR PRESIDENT JOHN F. KERRY
evil ###### bush LEADS IN POPULAR VOTE
HA HA HA HA
SWEET REVENGE HAS ARRIVED!
Released: November 02, 2004
Our Call
Zogby International's 2004 Predictions
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
2004 Presidential Election
Electoral Votes:
Bush
213
Kerry
311
Too Close To Call
Nevada (5)
Too Close To Call
Colorado (9)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The nationwide telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here's how we got there...
2004: Repeat of 2000 Figures: George Bush (Electoral Vote) UT 5 KS 6
WY 3 MS 6
ID 4 SC 8
AK 3 IN 11
NE 5 KY 8
ND 3 AL 9
MT 3 GA 15
SD 3 LA 9
OK 7 TX 34
John Kerry (Electoral Vote) ME 4 MD 10
VT 3 CT 7
IL 21 HI 4
RI 4 NY 31
DE 3 MA 12
NJ 15 DC 3
CA 55
Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172
2004 Battleground States:
2000
2004
Our Call
Bush Electoral Votes
Kerry Electoral Votes
%Margin
%Margin
Arizona (10)*
Bush + 6.28%
Bush 6%
10
-
Arkansas (6)*
Bush + 5.44%
Bush 3%
6
-
Colorado (9)
Bush + 8.36%
Too Close To Call
-
-
Florida (27)
Bush + 0.01%
Kerry .1%
Trending Kerry
-
27
Iowa (7)
Gore + 0.31%
Kerry 5%
-
7
Michigan (17)
Gore + 5.13%
Kerry 6%
-
17
Minnesota (10)
Gore + 2.4%
Kerry 6%
-
10
Missouri (11)*
Bush + 3.34%
Bush 3%
11
-
Nevada (5)
Bush + 3.55%
Too Close To Call
-
-
New Hampshire (4) *
Bush + 1.27%
Kerry 5%
-
4
New Mexico (5)
Gore + 0.06%
Kerry 3%
-
5
North Carolina (15)*
Bush + 12.83%
Bush 3%
15
-
Oregon (7)*
Gore + 0.44%
Kerry 10%
-
7
Ohio (20)
Bush + 3.51%
Bush 2%
Trending Kerry
-
20
Pennsylvania (21)
Gore + 4.17%
Trending Kerry
-
21
Tennessee (11)*
Bush + 3.86%
Bush 4%
11
-
Virginia (13)* Bush + 7.00% Bush 13 -
Washington (11)*
Gore + 5.58%
Kerry 11%
-
11
West Virginia (5)*
Bush + 6.32%
Bush 4%
5
-
Wisconsin (10)
Gore + 0.22%
Kerry 6%
-
10
Battleground State Totals 71 139
Current Grand Total: 213 311
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
(11/1/2004)
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