55 percent of Americans in this ABC News/Washington Post poll say they'd like to see the Democrats take control of Congress in 2006. And if the election were today, registered voters would favor the Democrat in their congressional district by 52 percent to 37 percent.

That 15-point margin is numerically the biggest for the Democrats since an ABC/Post poll in September 1984 (they ultimately lost 14 seats), although about the same as a 14-point Democratic lead in one poll in 1996 (when they gained nine).

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/PollVault/story?id=1283170

Bush Approval Ratings:

RCP Average

08/24 - 08/30

Approve 38.8%

Disapprove- 56.0%

Spread- -17.2%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/archive/?poll_id=19

Congressional Vote

RCP Average

08/22 - 08/30

Republicans-37.5%

Democrats-50.0%

Spread- -12.5%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/arc...poll_id=14#data

Direction Country Going.

RCP Average

08/10 - 08/27

Right Direction- 25.0%

Wrong Direction- 67.0%

Spread- -42.0%

Congressional Approval Ratings

RCP Average

08/17 - 08/30

Approve- 28.5%

Disapprove- 59.5%

Spread- -31.0%

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/polls/arc...poll_id=18#data

A survey by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News in late July found that only 38% of all voters said their representative "deserves to be re-elected" -- the lowest level of support recorded by this survey so far this year.

More broadly, the June Pew survey found that nearly six in 10 (57%) said they would prefer if "most" members of Congress were defeated in November -- 20 percentage points higher than said so at this stage of the campaign four years ago.

Growing dissatisfaction crosses party lines. Fewer than half of all Republicans (43%) currently think most members of the House should be re-elected -- this despite the fact that the GOP controls the chamber. Just under a quarter of all Democrats (22%) and independents (24%) want to see most members reelected.
What a difference an unpopular war and problems on the home front have made: Four years ago, 53% of Republicans, along with nearly half of all Democrats (45%) and 36% of independents thought most Representatives should be returned to office.

http://www.pewtrusts.org/ideas/ideas_item....urvey%20Results

Elections projections

Senate-

Current: 55 GOP, 44 DEM, 1 IND

Projected: 51 GOP, 47 DEM, 2 IND

DEM +3, GOP -4, IND +1

http://www.electionprojection.com/images/SenateMap06.gif
House-

Current: 232 GOP, 202 DEM, 1 IND

Projected: 225 GOP, 210 DEM, 0 IND

DEM +8, GOP -7, IND -1

http://www.electionprojection.com/images/HouseMap06.gif

Source:
http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2006.html

Bunch of bull from you pathetic LOSER neo cons.
The dems will take the house solidly. You idiots don't realize that the entire house is up, and only some seats are up in the senate. The dems will gain in the senate but will not take it.
If the dems do take the senate, that would be a huge unexpected upset.
If the dems do not take the house, that would also be a huge unexpected upset.
Nobody but idiots would believe your spin that the dems are expected to take the senate.

Democrats See Victory in U.S. House Races, Senate Within Reach

By Albert R. Hunt

Aug. 28 (Bloomberg) -- Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Chairman Charles Rangel and Chairman -- again -- John Dingell. Those titles will soon sound familiar.

Barring an unexpected and big event, Democrats will win control of the U.S. House of Representatives in November and conceivably the Senate, too. Whether it's a tsunami or just a powerful wave, the political dynamics are moving in that direction, or more accurately, against the Republicans and President George W. Bush.

Democratic insiders, who months ago thought their chances of winning a majority in the House were no better than even, and that the Senate was a lost cause, have become far more optimistic. Now, they say, winning the House is a lock, and the Senate is within reach.

``We have to go back to 1974 (during Watergate) to find such a favorable environment,'' says James Carville, who ran Bill Clinton's 1992 presidential campaign. ``If we can't win in this environment, we have to question the whole premise of the party.''

More telling is that the smartest Republican political minds agree. ``The issue matrix and political dynamics are not good for us,'' says Representative Tom Davis, a Virginia Republican. ``Only some big national or international event before the election can change that.''

`People Are Angry'

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=was...id=aHczjrHrbtxo



In this inhospitable climate, the GOP could well get burned worse than initially expected. At this stage, the Crystal Ball is shifting its outlook from a Democratic gain of 6-8 to a Democratic gain of 12-15 seats in the House. We also believe that our original guestimate of a Democratic gain of 2 or 3 seats in the Senate is probably too low; we now expect a Democratic Senate gain of a minimum of 3 seats and a maximum of 6 seats--that's right, we know that the Democrats would take over the Senate at 6.

In early polls, the Democrats take the House

http://www.csmonitor.com/2006/0807/p01s02-uspo.html

FOX NEWS----

Election Prediction: Democrats Will Take Back House

This year’s election is three months from this Tuesday, so it’s time to go out on a limb and predict the outcome in the battle for control of the U.S. House of Representatives.

With the usual caveat that events could change the dynamic in the next three months, let me venture the following prediction: Democrats will capture a net of at least 25 seats and will control the next Congress by at least 10 seats.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,207347,00.html


Democrats enjoy lead

Bush's tepid ratings do not bode well for his party's odds in the coming congressional elections. Asked which party's candidate they would vote for if the elections were held today, 52 percent of respondents cited the Democratic Party's; 43 percent the GOP's.

http://www.cnn.com/2006/POLITICS/08/21/iraq.poll/

That is all?
That is NOTHING

but a right wing propoganda site.
Wishes won't make it real.
The House will be democratic for sure, and even Howard Dean can't blow it. American voters are MAD AS HELL!!!!!!

Bunch of crap from you as usual.
The dems will take the house.
The porkers will keep the senate.
bush will be 100 percent lame duck.
The following two years will be all about further exposure of bush as a liar, war criminal, and enemy of our beloved constitution.
Then the total pendulum change in 2008. Can't happen in 06, wait till 08.

Bunch of bull from you pathetic LOSER neo cons.
The dems will take the house solidly. You idiots don't realize that the entire house is up, and only some seats are up in the senate. The dems will gain in the senate but will not take it.
If the dems do take the senate, that would be a huge unexpected upset.
If the dems do not take the house, that would also be a huge unexpected upset.
Nobody but idiots would believe your spin that the dems are expected to take the senate.

Elections projections ( September 25 2006 update)

42 Days till November 7, 2006

Senate-

Current: 55 GOP, 44 DEM, 1 IND

Projected: 52 GOP, 46 DEM, 2 IND

DEM +3, GOP -3, IND +1



House-

Current: 232 GOP, 202 DEM, 1 IND

Projected: 222 GOP, 213 DEM, 0 IND

DEM +11, GOP -10, IND -1



http://www.electionprojection.com/elections2006.html

Next up date September 29, 2006


Another projection site

Balance of power Score Card as of September 26, 2006

House

Democratic –202 Dem-Safe- 184 Dem-Favored- 8 Dem-Leaning-11 Projected-203

Republican – 231 Rep-Safe- 173 Rep-Favored- 27 Rep-Leaning- 20 Projected-220

No clear favorite undecided- 12

If Damocrats take ALL 12 undecided they would have only 218 to 220 Republican House seats.

Senate

Democratic- 45 Dem-Safe- 9 Dem-Favored- 4 Dem-Leaning- 4 Projected-44

Republican - 55 Rep-Safe- 7 Rep-Favored- 1 Rep-Leaning- 3 Projected-51

No clear favorite undecided- 5

If Damocrats take ALL 4 undecided, they would have only 49 to 51 Republic House seats..

http://www.cqpolitics.com/06map.html


A Third projection site

Senate

Damocrats—50 Republicans--50

HOUSE

Damocrats – 216 Republicans—218 1---Tied



http://www.electoral-vote.com:2006/

Perhaps a dominating slam Dunk for the Damocrats. If not now, as in no better time ever, yet another utter and complete failure if not.

Summary of Findings

A nationwide Pew Research Center survey finds voting intentions shifting in the direction of Republican congressional candidates in the final days of the 2006 midterm campaign. The new survey finds a growing percentage of likely voters saying they will vote for GOP candidates. However, the Democrats still hold a 48% to 40% lead among registered voters, and a modest lead of 47%-43% among likely voters.

The narrowing of the Democratic lead raises questions about whether the party will win a large enough share of the popular vote to recapture control of the House of Representatives. The relationship between a party's share of the popular vote and the number of seats it wins is less certain than it once was, in large part because of the increasing prevalence of safe seat redistricting. As a result, forecasting seat gains from national surveys has become more difficult.

The survey suggests that the judgment of undecided voters will be crucial to the outcome of many congressional races this year. As many as 19% of voters now only lean to a candidate or are flatly undecided. The Democrats hold a 44% to 35% lead among committed voters. But the race is more even among voters who are less strongly committed to a candidate; those who only lean to a candidate divide almost evenly between Republicans and Democrats (5% lean Republican/4% lean Democrat).

Republican gains in the new poll reflect a number of late-breaking trends. First, Republicans have become more engaged and enthused in the election than they had been in September and October. While Democrats continue to express greater enthusiasm about voting than do Republicans, as many Republican voters (64%) as Democratic voters (62%) now say they are giving quite a lot of thought to the election. About a month ago, Democratic voters were considerably more likely than GOP voters to say they were giving a lot of thought to the election (by 59%-50%). As a result, Republicans now register a greater likelihood of voting than do Democrats, as is typical in mid-term elections.

The Republicans also have made major gains, in a relatively short time period, among independent voters. Since early this year, the Democratic advantage in the generic House ballot has been built largely on a solid lead among independents. As recently as mid-October, 47% of independent voters said they were voting for the Democratic candidate in their district, compared with 29% who favored the Republican. Currently, Democrats lead by 44%-33% among independent voters.

Notably, President Bush's political standing has improved in the final week before the election. Bush's job approval rating among registered voters has risen from 37% in early October, to 41% in the current survey. Mirroring the GOP's gains among independent voters, Bush's rating among this crucial group of swing voters now stands at 35%, its highest point this year.

The final pre-election survey by the Pew Research Center for the People & the Press, conducted among 2,369 registered voters from Nov. 1-4, finds that voter appraisals of the national economy also have improved. In the current poll, 44% rate it as excellent or good, compared with 36% who held that view in mid-October. Republicans and independents have a much better view of the economy than they did just a few weeks ago. Among independent voters, 41% rate the economy as good or excellent, compared with 29% in mid-October.

In addition, Sen. John Kerry's "botched joke" about the war in Iraq attracted enormous attention. Fully 84% of voters say they have heard a lot or a little about Kerry's remarks ­ with 60% saying they have heard a lot. By comparison, just 26% say they have heard a lot about President Bush's statement that he will keep Donald Rumsfeld as secretary of defense until he leaves office in 2009. Most voters say Kerry's statement is not a serious consideration in their vote, but 18% of independent voters say it did raise serious doubts about voting for a Democratic candidate.

Arizona 5th-Last poll
SurveyUSA 10/29 - 10/31 643 LV 46 48 Undecided –2% ( D )Mitchell +2.0

How did this thread get lost? How did the thread where the Repugs were chest-thumping eachother pre-election not have anything post election?

I mean, c'mon, like any good Repug, ustrader and Nomad were completely and utterly wrong. How's J.D. Hayworth working for ya, Nomad?

gg no rm

Wrong is relative as being, some are right yet not relative, some are wrong yet relative.

To be wrong one must first set the contextual standard that makes them wrong, as in incorrect: not correct; not in conformity with fact or truth,contrary to, unsuitable, in error, causing any harm or injury,ill-timed: badly timed.

Perhaps a contextual elite is in order as in the select, the best as in determined by or in context.

CLEAN Biden sizzles!!

WASTED Old home Obama, slups..



IRAQVOTE Hidabeast studders, stutters and Huh! Huh's and O's the crowd of New Hampshire's Inquirying Minds!!...

Wow.

You were wrong.
Abosolutely, horribly, wrong. No thesaurus has enough words to describe how wrong you and Nomad were.

The word for the year- Wrong.

Yup we did lose as did all real Americans. What bemuses here is your total fascination with me. You blow onto the board and the immediatly choose me as a target for your emotional venom. This pleases me no end....
I got to you.... Your hatred of me proves this. Tell me, do you lie awake at night thinking about Nomad? When a car cuts you off in traffic do you assume it's Nomad? When you get fired from your next minimum wage job was it Nomad that did it? Or was it Nomad that stole your last girl?

Nomad is everywhere. Nomad knows every move you make. Nomad is watching you..........................

The many instances of wrong:
You:
"I do not post this to prognosticate but to compare just how the media and the Damocratic pundits drum beat VICTORY as "already a done deal " while the battle still rages..."

Victory was assured.

Yet, was that wrong at that moment and at that time. No, it was not and you are just plain lying to say you had any idea for sure there was any assurance what so ever of anything at that very time and at the moment of my post...

So, what we have is the idea of right from hindsight, with an emphasis on the hind in sight in the usual Moonbattery.

Yet, I ask again, what has been won and or lost, that is wrong? Is having to be responsible for a change in the consequences of what is done, is that so wrong or is it right?

What do you think will be done that is as not as wrong as it is right. Especially with this lack of abilty to overcome a veto without compromise and no ability to get much more done without compromise in either house chamber.

Is there any real assuredness in all of that? That is not wrong, that is right for America, not enough power anywhere to do anything without help, now that is the ticket I like... accountable compromise, where all must be responsible for the consequences of all they do none able to hide as roaches of nay and denial as before...

Nomad:
"J.D. Hayworth will not lose here. I know. I live in the 5th. And I still say the GOP will hold congress, both houses. Fk the MSM polls......................................."

Hayworth lost and the GOP lost both Congressional chambers.

Nomad part duex:
"The left would have everyone believe the majority of Americans are so fed up with the current state of affairs and will sweep them to power. "

And the majority of Americans were.

Nomad III:
"I expect a 4 or 5 seat gain in the house with the senate remaining the same."

25+ seat gain with Democrats winning the Senate.

Sea Of Red:
"It will be about 2045 before the Left takes control of both elected branches of government. "

Nope, onlly 12 years after losing our beloved People's Chamber and four years after losing the Senate.

Hey its Pit's favorite Republican, Nomad:
"Looks like independants and undecideds are breaking GOP. But then I never believed in the dem strength in the first place. All this was MSM hype, lies and spin. But true to form expect these whiney little dems to scream election fraud as soon as their loss is apparent................................."

Nope, completely opposite, actually.
That's just page one, shall I go on?