It seems, as we note so often here, opinions are like A-holes, everyone has one, thinking in self interest, theirs stinks less than the next guys.Iran Reacts Favorably to the Baker-Hamilton PlanWhile the White House remains wary of the proposal to talk with Iran, Tehran sources tell TIME that the regime believes such talks are in the country's best interest.
The Iranian government has responded more positively than the Bush Administration has to the Iraq Study Group's proposal for talks between the two. And government sources in Tehran tell TIME that this reflects a sincere and calculated desire among the Iranian leadership for improved relations with Washington
http://www.time.com/time/world/article/0,8...1568431,00.htmlIraqi leader criticises US report.Iraqi President Jalal Talabani has criticised some of the main findings of a high-level US report calling for a change of strategy in Iraq.
Speaking at his Baghdad residence, Mr Talabani said:
"I think that the Baker-Hamilton report is not fair and not just, and it contains dangerous articles which undermine the sovereignty of Iraq and its constitutionhttp://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6165943.stmKurds Reject US Study Group's ReportIn a strongly worded statement, the president of Iraq's northern Kurdistan region rejected in its entirety the report by the Iraq Study Group, and threatened that Kurds would opt for secession from Iraq should Washington try to implement some of the key recommendations of the report regarding Kirkuk, federalism and the constitution.
http://www.antiwar.com/ips/salih.php?articleid=10137Israel rejects Iraq study ideasIsrael has rejected claims by a team of elder US statesmen that the Iraq crisis cannot be resolved unless the US also tackles the Arab-Israeli conflict.
Mr Olmert said Syria first would need to break ties with Israel's arch-foe Iran, and with anti-Israeli militant groups in Lebanon and the occupied territories.
"I don't think there is a Syrian desire for war with us. We certainly don't have a desire to fight with them. That doesn't mean conditions ripe for us to negotiate with them," Mr Olmert told an annual gathering of Israeli journalists in Tel Aviv.
Policy priority
James Baker and Lee Hamilon's bipartisan ISG report says: "The US will not be able to achieve its goals in the Middle East unless the US deals directly with the Arab-Israeli conflict."
It recommends directly involving Israel, Lebanon, Syria and the Palestinians in talks at the earliest opportunity.
The BBC's Matthew Price in Jerusalem says it is no surprise that the Israeli prime minister disagreed with the ISG assessment.
Israel knows President George W Bush's foreign policy priority is Iraq and it does not want its greatest ally to start seeing it as part of the problem, he adds.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6217656.stmReactions to the long-awaited Iraq Study Group reportWe randomly sampled the web by using Copernic Agent – a software that uses keywords and brings up matches found from all possible website accessible to it at any given time. The keywords were "Baker-Hamilton" and "Comment" and the search was limited to websites originating within USA. Seven hundred results came up and we randomly selected 30 (the fourth of each displayed result). When the site was a list of comments on an article about the report the fourth in the list of comments was sampled.
President Bush said: “The thing I liked about the Baker-Hamilton report is it discussed the way forward in Iraq. And I believe we need a new approach.” “I understand how hard it is to prevail. But I also want the American people to understand that, if we were to fail -- and one way to assure failure is just to quit -- is not to adjust and say it's just not worth it. If we were to fail, that failed policy will come to hurt generations of Americans in the future.”
“If the president is serious about the need for change in Iraq, he will find Democrats ready to work with him in a bipartisan fashion to find a way to end the war as quickly as possible,” said
Rep. Nancy Pelosi“The president has the ball in his court now ... and we're going to be watching very closely,” said
Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV)Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton (D-N.Y.) said the key question now is whether President George W. Bush will effectively implement a new policy. “We need the White House to become the ‘Iraq Results Group.’”
Senator Barak Obama (D-IL) said it's time for change, “In presenting a realistic view of how far the situation has deteriorated, the report avoids the partisan rhetoric that has characterized too much of this debate and offers a unique chance to forge a bipartisan consensus about how to move forward in Iraq.”
Senator John McCain (R-Ariz.) told Hamilton and Baker that he does not believe their approach will work taking issue with that approach, saying he did not agree with the Baker-Hamilton group's conclusion that the U.S. military does not have enough forces available to sustain a troop boost in Iraq. “There's only one thing worse than an over-stressed army and marine corps, and that's a defeated army and marine corps. I believe this is a recipe that will lead to our defeat sooner or later in Iraq.”
Senator Carl Levin (D-Mich), the incoming chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee, said “The report represents another blow at the policy of 'stay-the-course' that this administration has followed. Hopefully, this will be the end of that stay-the-course policy." Levin. Referring to Democrats' election victory in November, he said, "the American people rose up against staying the course in Iraq, because it was not working."
Representative John P. Murtha (D-PA), whose call for withdrawal touched off a firestorm last year, complained that the panel offered a prescription “no different from the current policy” and called for quicker and more “decisive” action: “Staying in Iraq is not an option politically, militarily or fiscally.”
Representative Lynn Woolsey (D-CA), co-founder of the Out of Iraq Caucus, “I agree with them totally, that -- and they’re saying it loud and clear -- it’s a mess. The occupation is a mess, and we need a political solution. We also need to reach out regionally to the other leaders in the region. And they -- imagine, they have to tell the President of the United States to reach out to other leaders around the world? But they’re doing it. Let’s hope he pays attention to them. I, like Barbara Lee, disagree with a timeline that adds 12 to 18 months to this occupation, because, you see, all we’re doing when we’re there is making everything worse. It’s getting worse every single day that we’re in Iraq.” She concluded: “I hope the people of this country aren’t lulled by this report, because, you see, it’s way too late. This is too little, too late to start, all of a sudden, realizing we’ve got a disaster in Iraq.”
Rep. Dennis Kucinich (D-OH), said “The American public did not vote for the Iraq Study Group. They voted for a new congress and a new direction in Iraq - - out. Many who voted for change will be surprised to learn some who oppose the war will continue to fund it, in the name of supporting the troops in the field.”
Military
Retired General Barry McCaffrey, who fought during the 1991 Gulf War, said “They came up with a political thought but then got to tinkering with tactical ideas that in my view don't make any sense. This is a recipe for national humiliation.”
Jack Keane, the retired acting Army chief of staff who served on the group’s panel of military advisers, described that goal of removing combat troops by Spring 2008 as entirely impractical. “Based on where we are now we can’t get there,” General Keane said in an interview, adding that the report’s conclusions say more about “the absence of political will in Washington than the harsh realities in Iraq.”
“The new Iraqi Army will need years to become equal to the challenge posed by a persistent insurgency and terrorist threat,”
Lt. Col. Carl D. Grunow, a former military adviser, wrote in a recent issue of Military Review, a journal published by the United States Army.“There is no meaningful plan for creating a mix of effective Iraqi military forces, police forces, governance and criminal justice system at any point in the near future, much less by 2008,” noted Anthony H. Cordesman of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, referring to the group’s study.
Defense expert Andrew Krepinevich, whose counter-insurgency theory formed the basis of the U.S. and Iraqi crackdown in Baghdad code-named Operation Together Forward, told Reuters "The idea ... is a good one (but) this will likely lead to an increase in U.S. casualties.”
Iraqi and Middle East Reaction
“I don't care about the report,”
said Ahmed Rafii, a taxi driver from Falluja. “I didn't follow it and didn't hear about it. The Americans came for the oil and they are going to stay as long as the oil is there.”
“The situation is grave, very grave in fact, and cannot be tolerated,” Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Barham Saleh said Wednesday on the pan Arab satellite TV channel Al-Arabiya, he warned that improving the battlefield capabilities of the Iraqi armed forces would not be “the magic wand that brings a solution in one day.”
A prominent Kurdish lawmaker, Mahmoud Othman, criticized the panel for failing to include Iraqis, saying the “report was written in the first place to generate agreement among the Americans.” Further, “It seems those who wrote it have little knowledge about the situation in Iraq. They only visited the Green Zone for some days, they did not go to the south or to Kurdistan to ask the people there. This is the reason why their outcome and recommendations are superficial and inaccurate.”
Khalid Abdel-Rahim, a Sunni Arab employee of the Industry Ministry said “U.S. officials have long discussed training more Iraqi troops, but they have not been able to control widespread attacks by insurgents and militias. ... I don't expect this latest report will solve our problems.”
Hadi Muhsin, the Shia owner of a stationery shop in Baghdad, said: ''This report comes after the deaths of tens thousands of Iraqis. It doesn't recommend the total withdrawal of U.S. forces or set a timetable. ... I don't think this report will bring positive change. We don't even know if President Bush will follow it.''
Sadiq al-Rikabi, a political adviser to Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki, echoed Saleh's comment that the report's recommendations were ''positive on the whole.'' He told The Associated Press they conformed with the government's own plans to deal with the rampant violence engulfing the country since 2003.''The parts I read were very positive,'' he said.
Sheik Mohammed Bashar al-Fayadh, a spokesman for the Association of Muslim Scholars, a Sunni Arab group said the recommendations gave precedence to U.S. interests over Iraq's and sought ''guarantees for an exit (from Iraq) but without paying heed to preventing a civil war from breaking out. The report recommends the training of Iraqi forces, but will it reach the level of the American army? The answer is 'no.' If the American army is unable to settle the question and get out of this predicament, so how can that be?”
Commentators, Advocacy Groups and Think TanksWilliam Kristol, the neocon editor of The Weekly Standard and a member of the Project for a New American Century called the report “a disguised surrender,” “The real recommendation of the Baker-Hamilton Iraq Study group is 'stay the course.' For this we waited nine months?” He added about President Bush: “Right now we can only applaud the president's courage and determination and his willingness to resist the pressures of those who would now sound the retreat.”
Frederick Kagen of the American Enterprise Institute writes “The reason: The report basically punts on the most important issue of the day--establishing security in Iraq. All of the pious exhortations to get Iraqis to sit down with one another, to engage Iran and Syria and to find political compromises are meaningless if we are unable to stem the tide of bloodshed that now engulfs much of Baghdad and Anbar province. Yet the Baker Report devotes scant space (eight pages out of 56 in the proposals section) to the security problem and its recommendations are unoriginal: Increase the number of American soldiers embedded in Iraqi units as trainers by stripping them out of the combat brigades now working to fight insurgents.”
The Center for American Progress’s Lawrence Korb and Max Bergamann urge adoption of the report, writing the report “closely replicates the plan that the Center for American Progress first released in September 2005 called “Strategic Redeployment,” offers a new, pragmatic approach to the war in Iraq and worsening crises across the Middle East—one that even its authors concede may not stave off defeat, but that still presents realistic options in the face of a deteriorating set of circumstances.”
Anthony Arnove author of Iraq: The Logic of Withdrawal “Well, I think the report offers only a slight correction of course for a policy that needs fundamental reversal. We need to bring the troops home, not to talk about prolonging the presence of the United States in Iraq. This report of the Iraq Study Group lays out keeping troops, not only combat troops, in Iraq until 2008, but well beyond that . . . it continues a policy that the Bush administration has put forward, of we will stand down as the Iraqis stand up . . . as long as US troops are there, the US troops will be a source of instability and will fuel sectarian conflict, rather than dampen it.”
The Nation Magazine editorializes: Democrats should not cede their popular mandate to the murky consensus of the Baker-Hamilton report, which equivocates on the alternative to prolonged war--speaking of "one last chance" to "succeed." Certainly, the panel's proposed gradual pullback of fifteen U.S. combat brigades by early 2008 is a welcome alternative to the neocons' and Administration's failed and delusional policies. But there is no hard deadline attached to the recommendations; furthermore, the Iraq Study Group envisions keeping at least 70,000 troops in Iraq for the long term--maintaining a lower-visibility occupation rather than ending it. Even worse, it recommends "embedding" U.S. troops with Iraqi units; in an environment where Iraqi army and police are increasingly identified with sectarian militias, this risks making U.S. troops direct participants in Iraq's civil war--and what retired Lieut. Col. Ralph Peters called "hostages in uniform."
“Combat troops out by 2008 sounds great,” said
Kevin Martin executive director of Peace Action, “but if they are only to be replaced by large numbers of U.S. special forces, rapid reaction teams, military trainers, advisors and intelligence operatives, as the plan suggests, nothing will have been gained. Even with its few good suggestions regarding international diplomacy and national reconciliation, this is not a plan to end the war, but rather one to turn it into a more manageable long term occupation – occupation lite, if you will.”
Phyllis Bennis of Institute for Policy Studies described the report saying: “Despite the breathless hype, the Baker-Hamilton Iraq Study Group (ISG) report did not include any dramatic new ideas for ending the war in Iraq. In fact, it did not include a call to end the war at all. Rather, the report’s recommendations focus on transforming the U.S. occupation of Iraq into a long-term, sustainable, off-the-front-page occupation with a lower rate of U.S. casualties. Despite its title, it does not provide ‘A New Approach: A Way Forward.’”
http://www.aljazeera.com/me.asp?service_ID=12695Mideast press sceptical over Baker reportIraqi papers argue that only Iraqis themselves can define their country's fate, while the Iranian press stresses the importance of neighbouring countries in solving the crisis.
In Israel, commentators are split between those who see the report's benefits and those who view its pitfalls, particularly those linked to Israel's relations with its neighbours.
In marked contrast,
a Palestinian paper believes the panel's recommendation on the Mid-East peace process forms its most important conclusion. But a Lebanese title doubts that Iran and Syria will give the US the help it needs.
ALI KHLAYF IN IRAQ'S SHIA AL-ADALAHInternational conferences cannot decide the fate of the political process in Iraq. Rather, Iraqis, who have made immense sacrifices for the political process, can alone determine the fate of their country and draw up its policies.
IRAQ'S AL-DUSTURA change cannot happen in isolation from the Iraqi national will. The Americans are incapable of making a change outside the framework of Iraqi national interest which is defined by the Iraqis rather than any other party.
UK-BASED PAN-ARAB AL-QUDS AL-ARABIThe Baker report is valuable as it is the first time that the failure of the US occupation in Iraq has been clearly acknowledged, as well as the danger of US troops remaining in Iraq in the light of the deteriorating situation and the escalation of killings among the Iraqis and the occupation forces.
IRAN'S REFORMIST E'TEMAD-E MELLIIn the long term there is no solution to keeping Iraq secure except by cooperation with Iraq's neighbours.
IRAN'S CONSERVATIVE RESALATWe are witnessing a movement started in the region by the Islamic Republic of Iran to remove the flows of intrusion and occupation in the region. The recent incidents in Lebanon in addition to what is happening in Iraq prove that the people in the region want to cleanse the Middle East of foreigners' interference.
MOTTY ZAFT IN ISRAEL'S NATIONAL RELIGIOUS PARTY HATZOFEWith all due respect to old Baker, President Bush junior's perception of his position as leader of the strongest superpower in the world is the polar opposite of the report's view... If Bush accepts the report in full it would be a mighty turnaround in US policy, a thing it does not seem he will do.
SHMUEL ROSNER IN ISRAEL'S LEFT-OF-CENTRE HA'ARETZThe Baker Report undermines everything Bush and his aides believed in, everything they have declared in recent years. The question is how they will neutralize the clauses that bother them without angering a public thirsty for new solutions.
ORLY AZULAY IN ISRAEL'S CENTRIST YEDIOT AHARONOTIf Bush adopts the report he will benefit both American interests and Israeli interests. If he decides to throw the recommendations in the bin, he will be like a man who points a gun at his forehead and pulls the trigger.
AKIVA ELDAR IN ISRAEL'S HA'ARETZIt is difficult to believe that Baker really expects that this couple [Prime Minister Olmert and Defence Minister Peretz], who are incapable of evacuating a single outpost, will convince the public to give up the West Bank, East Jerusalem and the Golan Heights, to dismantle settlements and evacuate citizens from their homes.
ARIK BACHAR IN ISRAEL'S CENTRE-RIGHT MA'ARIVIsrael offered a down payment for solving the Palestinian problem more than a year ago with the withdrawal from Gaza. In return it got the excitable Hamas, with rockets that are turning the western Negev into a firing range. We would have expected from an experienced mediator like Baker that he would not just take the easy route to find a solution.
HERB KEINON IN JERUSALEM POSTAfter the Madrid diplomatic process was ditched in favour of concentrating on the Palestinian track in the hope that solving this problem would be the key to everything else, Baker is back with recommendations for a regional conference. It's Madrid redux.
PALESTINIAN AL-QUDSWhat was interesting for us as Palestinians was the conclusion that to make Iraq a safe place and get it out of the spiral of violence, suffering and division, the Middle East conflict should be solved. This was the panel's most important conclusion.
ABD AL-HAMID SWAYLIM PALESTINIAN AL-AYYAMThere is an almost clear unanimity that US policy has failed in creating the democratic model it was dreaming of and heralded. This was the moral criterion for its occupation policy in Iraq. The US failure is military, political and economic.
RAFIQ KHURI IN LEBANON'S AL-ANWARIt is not realistic to imagine that the adversaries of America invited to dialogue will voluntarily give it what it needs to realize its objectives, especially after the great and resounding US failure in Iraq.
LEBANON'S ARAB NATIONALIST AL-NAHARPresident George Bush is still speaking about progress in Iraq and insisting on achieving the mission, as he waits for a report by the US security services that may save him from the Baker-Hamilton Report.
EGYPT'S PRO-GOVT AL-JUMHURIYAHThis admission [that the US is not winning in Iraq] from the new boss in the Pentagon, although it came late, represents a sound basis for changing the strategy in Iraq to guarantee a quick and safe pullout for US forces in response to the demands of the majority of Americans and the Iraqi people, who have priority in deciding their destiny and future.
JORDAN'S INDEPENDENT AL-DUSTURWhat is important is to realize the importance of gradual change in the US decision-making that may decide in the end to merge Iran to be part of the solution in Iraq instead of being part of the problem. This requires an Arab political readiness to face all consequences that may result from this US tendency.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/middle_east/6216936.stmTUM DII DAI DII, TUM CHUA DAI CHUA!
THA T
IS
ALL!